Predictors of low cardiac output syndrome after coronary artery bypass

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to identify patients at risk for the development of low cardiac output syndrome after coronary artery bypass. Low cardiac output syndrome was defined as the need for postoperative intraaortic balloon pump or inotropic support for longer than 30 minutes in the intensive care unit to maintain the systolic blood pressure greater than 90 mm Hg and the cardiac index greater than 2.2 L/min per square meter. The preoperative patient characteristics that were independent predictors of low cardiac output syndrome were identified among 4558 consecutive patients who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass at The Toronto Hospital between July 1, 1990, and December 31, 1993. The overall prevalence of low cardiac output syndrome was 9.1% ( n = 412). The operative mortality rate was higher in patients in whom low cardiac output syndrome developed than in those in whom it did not develop (16.9% versus 0.9%, p < 0.001). Stepwise logistic regression analyses identified nine independent predictors of low output syndrome (percent frequency in parentheses) and calculated the factor-adjusted odds ratios associated with each predictor: (1) left ventricular ejection fraction less than 20% (27%, odds ratio 5.7); (2) repeat operation (25%, odds ratio 4.4); (3) emergency operation (27%, odds ratio 3.7); (4) female gender (16%, odds ratio 2.5); (5) diabetes (13%, odds ratio 1.6); (6) age older than 70 years (13%, odds ratio 1.5); (7) left main coronary artery stenosis (12%, odds ratio 1.4); (8) recent myocardial infarction (16%, odds ratio 1.4); and (9) triple-vessel disease (10%, odds ratio 1.3). Low cardiac output syndrome is a clinical outcome that may result from inadequate myocardial protection or perioperative ischemic injury. Patients at high risk for the development of low cardiac output syndrome should be the focus of trials of new techniques of myocardial protection to resuscitate the ischemic myocardium. (J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 1996;112:38-51)